Nederland kan crisis als Finland doorstaan

Nieuws | de redactie
10 maart 2009 | Nederland en Finland hebben nog de beste positie om door de crisis te komen. Toch dreigt heel Europa nu de Lissabon-doelstellingen van kennis en innovatie niet meer te halen, zo analyseert de Lisbon Council. Nederland scoort hoog dankzij de sterke groei en lage werkloosheid gedurende 2008, maar zou nu vanwege de klappen in de wereldhandel fors kunnen wegzakken.

Kerngegevens uit het rapport en de vooruitzichten gedurende de crisis zijn:
 
1] European countries are all suffering from the global economic downturn, but some – such as Finland – are better placed to withstand the crunch, according to The 2009 European Growth and Jobs Monitor: Indicators of Success in the Knowledge Economy, an annual competitiveness survey. The study ranks countries according to six key criteria including economic growth, productivity growth, jobs, human capital, future-oriented investment and sustainable public finances.

2] Among the key findings of The 2009 European Growth and Jobs Monitor are the fact that given the dramatic decline in performance over the past 12 months, the EU-15 will not be able to reach the Lisbon targets in 2009 nor presumably in 2010, with the current overall score of 0.84 – compared to 1.12 at the end of 2007. Human Capital continues improving, with Europe following a global trend and producing more university graduates.

Had the crisis not hit, six European countries – Finland, Greece, Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden – would have been on track to fulfil their Lisbon targets by 2010 – a remarkable result, given the pessimism that surrounded this agenda just a few years ago. The success of Europe’s top performers shows the strength and depth of the economic recovery in the years 2005-2008. But the recent downturn is so severe that none of the countries surveyed can presently come up to the Lisbon goals.

3] Finland tops the ranking, with strong performances in Human Capital (No. 1) and Sustainability of Public Finances (No. 1); only in the area of Future-Oriented Investment (No. 12) in plant and machinery does it do badly, although the country’s strong commitment to R&D investment – with annual spending at 3.45% of GDP, well above the Lisbon target of 3% – does much to compensate.

Netherlands showed the most improvement, finishing at No. 3, up six places from last year, based on strong performance in Economic Growth (No. 3) and Jobs (No. 2).

Germany finishes at No. 9, down slightly from its No. 8 performance last year. However, Germany records the biggest improvement in the Sustainability of Public Finances. This improvement – up three places from last year – is an important achievement, which shores up long-term prosperity and gives the country more scope to respond flexibly to the global downturn this year.

4] Ireland fell the farthest, ending at No. 13, down nine places from last year. Its reliance on external trade and the importance of its financial services sector in national output made it particularly susceptible to the global economic downswing and international financial turmoil. GDP growth, productivity and public finances all deteriorated precipitously during the year surveyed.

Italy came in dead last at No. 14 with an overall Lisbon score of 0.39. This suggests that Europe’s fourth largest economy must do more to meet future economic and social challenges.






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